Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-3 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 31 May 2025

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1-3 HT 0-3
FC Sochi
📅31/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 26% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.27
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
14%
6.08
X/2
12%
5.22
X/X
9%
4.87
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
16%
3.38
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+7.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v FC Sochi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -17%
1.13/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.22
-4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
16.5 Crosses 19.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Sochi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.62 xG 2.44
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
278 Passes 424
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.05.2025 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-2 HT 1-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
12.05.2024 FC Sochi FC Sochi 6-1 HT 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
29.10.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
22.05.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 4-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
07.08.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-1 HT 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
01.07.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi HAZ

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-3 FC Sochi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1-3
AWAY FC Sochi
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi beat Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Pari Nizhny Novgorod at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pari Nizhny Novgorod had 46% of the ball to FC Sochi's 54%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pari Nizhny Novgorod had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 1.67 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-3 FC Sochi in the Russia - Premier League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pari Nizhny Novgorod win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 42%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Pari Nizhny Novgorod), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pari Nizhny Novgorod) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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