FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.62
6+ Goals
8%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 30% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.29
1/2
11%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
15%
4.26
X/2
8%
9.2
X/X
12%
5.15
2/1
9%
23.3
2/2
11%
7.37
2/X
8%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-11.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -21%
1.77/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.51
-11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.7 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ural
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.84 xG 1.10
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
255 Passes 320
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2025 Ural Ural 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
02.03.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS
02.09.2023 Ural Ural 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
08.04.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0 HT 1-0 Ural Ural RUS
17.09.2022 Ural Ural 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
13.03.2022 Ural Ural 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
2-0
AWAY Ural
1.33 xG 0.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
289 Passes 178
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Akhmat Grozny saw off Ural 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Akhmat Grozny as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 60% of the ball to Ural's 40%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 1.33 to 0.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Akhmat Grozny had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 0.50 for Ural.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Ural?

FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0 Ural in the Russia - Premier League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 42%, draw 28%, Ural 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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