Vasteras SK FK 4-5 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 31 May 2026

📅31/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
44%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.37
6+ Goals
14%
12.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.37 — our 24% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.74
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
12%
5.72
X/2
17%
5.69
X/X
11%
4.61
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
20%
3.72
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 40%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.25/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.40
+28% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
21.2 Crosses 20.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasteras SK FK
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Göteborg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.84 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
174 Passes 335
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 39
16 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.09.2024 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
21.07.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ
22.02.2020 Göteborg Göteborg 2-0 HT 2-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
4-5
AWAY Göteborg
2.31 xG 1.32
20 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
374 Passes 232
28 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg edged past Vasteras SK FK 5-4 away from home. Half-time: 2-4. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Göteborg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.31 to 1.32 — on chances, Vasteras SK FK could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Göteborg led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 1.33 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs Göteborg?

Vasteras SK FK 4-5 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Göteborg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 30%, draw 26%, Göteborg 44%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göteborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Göteborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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