CD Castellon vs Eibar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CD Castellon v Eibar — Team-Based Signals
CD Castellon vs Eibar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Eibar
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
CD Castellon
İS2
1-2
HT 0-0
CD Castellon
İS2
CD Castellon 2-1 Eibar — Actual Match Statistics
CD Castellon nicked a narrow win over Eibar 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, CD Castellon had 54% of the ball to Eibar's 46%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.39 to 1.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold CD Castellon's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Castellon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Castellon and 0.33 for Eibar.
What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Eibar?
CD Castellon 2-1 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Eibar?
Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 58%, draw 21%, Eibar 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.