CD Castellon 2-0 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 34% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.8
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
20%
4.67
X/2
11%
7.41
X/X
14%
4.27
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
12%
5.74
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 29%
-25% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -18%
1.51/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.36
-37% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
19.9 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Eibar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.09 xG 0.68
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
365 Passes 137
80% Pass Accuracy 55%
41 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
17.08.2024 Eibar Eibar 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
14.06.2009 CD Castellon CD Castellon 4-0 HT 3-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
18.01.2009 Eibar Eibar 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
20.04.2008 Eibar Eibar 1-2 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
18.11.2007 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
26.03.2006 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
2-0
AWAY Eibar
0.85 xG 1.60
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
432 Passes 254
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
11 Box Touches 23
8 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon saw off Eibar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CD Castellon had 59% of the ball to Eibar's 41%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.85 to 1.60 — on chances, Eibar could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Castellon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Castellon and 0.33 for Eibar.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Eibar?

CD Castellon 2-0 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 43%, draw 27%, Eibar 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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