Cartagena vs Malaga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cartagena v Malaga — Team-Based Signals
Cartagena vs Malaga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Cartagena
İS2
2-1
HT 0-0
Malaga
İS2
1-1
HT 0-0
Cartagena
İS2
3-1
HT 1-0
Malaga
İS2
1-1
HT 1-0
Malaga
İS2
Cartagena 0-1 Malaga — Actual Match Statistics
Malaga nicked a narrow win over Cartagena 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Malaga made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Cartagena had 32% of the ball to Malaga's 68%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.73 to 1.03 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cartagena.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cartagena and 1.00 for Malaga.
What was the final score of Cartagena vs Malaga?
Cartagena 0-1 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Malaga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cartagena win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 36%, draw 29%, Malaga 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cartagena) went the other way.