Racing Santander 2-3 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 15 Feb 2025

Racing Santander
2-3 HT 0-1
Cadiz
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Racing Santander vs Cadiz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.81
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.29
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
15%
4.76
X/2
11%
6.37
X/X
16%
3.81
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
8%
5.14
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Santander v Cadiz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.72/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.64
+24% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
14.9 Crosses 19.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Racing Santander vs Cadiz Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Cadiz
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 1.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 234
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Cadiz Cadiz 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
24.01.2020 Cadiz Cadiz 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
06.09.2019 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
28.01.2006 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS1
11.09.2005 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1

Racing Santander 2-3 Cadiz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
2-3
AWAY Cadiz
1.93 xG 3.42
68% Ball Possession 32%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
339 Passes 139
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Box Touches 28
27 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz squeezed past Racing Santander 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Santander at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Racing Santander had 68% of the ball to Cadiz's 32%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.93 to 3.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cadiz's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cadiz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Racing Santander and 1.00 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Cadiz?

Racing Santander 2-3 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 44%, draw 30%, Cadiz 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Racing Santander), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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