Estudiantes 3-0 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 31 May 2026

📅31/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.99
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.16
No
48%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+7.8pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.6pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.9pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 42%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.78/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.31
+36% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
246 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
26.0 Crosses 21.5
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Rosario Central
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.99 xG 1.07
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 Passes 348
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
10.05.2025 Rosario Central Rosario Central 2-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
21.11.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
06.07.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
16.09.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
08.05.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 2-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
3-0
AWAY Rosario Central
2.09 xG 0.76
35% Ball Possession 65%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
166 Passes 343
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes cruised past Rosario Central 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Estudiantes had 35% of the ball to Rosario Central's 65%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.09 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosario Central led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estudiantes and 1.17 for Rosario Central.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Rosario Central?

Estudiantes 3-0 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Cup on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 38%, draw 26%, Rosario Central 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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