Palmeiras 1-0 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 31 May 2026

Palmeiras
1-0 HT 0-0
Chapecoense
📅31/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Palmeiras vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
11%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 27% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.7
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
5%
17.55
X/1
23%
3.8
X/2
3%
13.8
X/X
8%
6.2
2/1
12%
22.25
2/2
5%
11.85
2/X
4%
20.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
66%
+6.4pp
17%
Draw
20%
-2.9pp
11%
Away Win
14%
-3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palmeiras v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.77/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.75
+5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
408 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 77%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
24.3 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1

Palmeiras vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Chapecoense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.22 xG 0.91
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
380 Passes 249
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.09.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-2 HT 0-2 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
07.06.2021 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-1 HT 3-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
17.10.2019 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
03.06.2019 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-2 HT 1-2 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
03.09.2018 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-2 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
29.04.2018 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1

Palmeiras 1-0 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
1-0
AWAY Chapecoense
0.77 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
427 Passes 465
87% Pass Accuracy 90%
19 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Palmeiras vs Chapecoense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Palmeiras edged past Chapecoense 1-0 in the Brazil - Serie A on 31 May 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Palmeiras had 48% of the ball to Chapecoense's 52%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.77 to 1.21.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras have the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Palmeiras and 0.50 for Chapecoense.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Chapecoense?

Palmeiras 1-0 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie A on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Chapecoense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 72%, draw 17%, Chapecoense 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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