Vasco da Gama 0-1 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 31 May 2026

📅31/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.57
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
17%
4.42
X/2
12%
7.79
X/X
11%
4.55
2/1
5%
25.0
2/2
8%
6.15
2/X
8%
14.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 10% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 28%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -23%
1.41/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.26
-8% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
26.5 Crosses 18.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.90 xG 1.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
328 Passes 424
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 5-0 HT 2-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
10.08.2025 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
05.12.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
20.10.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BRK
03.10.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-1 HT 2-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BRK
21.07.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 2-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
0-1
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.29 xG 0.54
60% Ball Possession 40%
26 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
421 Passes 257
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 19
33 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Mineiro
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Atletico Mineiro edged past Vasco da Gama 1-0 away from home in the Brazil - Serie A on 31 May 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 60% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 40%, shots finished 26-10, expected goals 1.29 to 0.54.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.83 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Mineiro?

Vasco da Gama 0-1 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 42%, draw 27%, Atletico Mineiro 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vasco da Gama) ✗ BTTS Yes
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