Vasco da Gama 1-1 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.07
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.1
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
11%
13.65
X/1
13%
5.51
X/2
11%
5.59
X/X
10%
3.59
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
16%
4.2
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -9%
1.38/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.22
+12% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
20.6 Crosses 18.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
267 Passes 437
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
20.10.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BRK
03.10.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-1 HT 2-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BRK
21.07.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 2-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
20.08.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
16.04.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-2 HT 1-2 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
1-1
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 10
379 Passes 285
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasco da Gama and Atletico Mineiro shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 55% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 45%, shots finished 15-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.00 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Mineiro?

Vasco da Gama 1-1 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 38%, draw 28%, Atletico Mineiro 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vasco da Gama), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasco da Gama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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