Palmeiras vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Ceara — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Palmeiras
BR1
2-3
HT 1-2
Ceara
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Ceara
BR1
1-2
HT 0-1
Palmeiras
BR1
Palmeiras 2-1 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras edged past Ceara 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Palmeiras had 61% of the ball to Ceara's 39%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.44 to 0.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Palmeiras and 0.83 for Ceara.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Ceara?
Palmeiras 2-1 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie A on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Ceara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 60%, draw 23%, Ceara 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.