Sao Paulo 2-0 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
5.31
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.31
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.5
X/1
17%
3.85
X/2
9%
9.57
X/X
11%
3.94
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
9%
9.0
2/X
7%
18.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.38/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.93
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
21.8 Crosses 18.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Vitoria
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.53 xG 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
382 Passes 304
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-1 HT 2-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
05.05.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 1-3 HT 0-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
27.10.2018 Vitoria Vitoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
13.06.2018 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 3-0 HT 2-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
17.09.2017 Vitoria Vitoria 1-2 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
09.06.2017 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
2-0
AWAY Vitoria
2.53 xG 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
418 Passes 294
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sao Paulo vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Paulo saw off Vitoria 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sao Paulo had 56% of the ball to Vitoria's 44%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 2.53 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sao Paulo and 0.50 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Vitoria?

Sao Paulo 2-0 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 52%, draw 25%, Vitoria 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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