Palmeiras 3-0 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.77
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
22.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.87
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
18.9
X/1
20%
3.68
X/2
8%
13.35
X/X
9%
5.02
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
10%
12.65
2/X
8%
21.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.68/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.49
-13% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / +51%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
23.0 Crosses 18.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ceara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.60 xG 1.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
324 Passes 330
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.05.2025 Ceara Ceara 0-1 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BRK
30.07.2022 Ceara Ceara 1-2 HT 0-2 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
10.04.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-3 HT 1-2 Ceara Ceara BR1
10.12.2021 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
21.10.2021 Ceara Ceara 1-2 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
24.01.2021 Ceara Ceara 2-1 HT 2-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
3-0
AWAY Ceara
2.81 xG 0.49
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 5
341 Passes 200
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Palmeiras vs Ceara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras cruised past Ceara 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Palmeiras had 61% of the ball to Ceara's 39%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.81 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Palmeiras and 1.17 for Ceara.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Ceara?

Palmeiras 3-0 Ceara in the Brazil - Cup on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 52%, draw 24%, Ceara 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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