Vila Nova vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vila Nova v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Vila Nova
BR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR2
Vila Nova 0-3 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro cruised past Vila Nova 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Vila Nova at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
On the day, Vila Nova had 48% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 52%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 1.14 to 1.85.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Vila Nova and 1.00 for Cruzeiro.
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Cruzeiro?
Vila Nova 0-3 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Cup on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Cruzeiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 42%, draw 28%, Cruzeiro 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Vila Nova), Under 2.5 went the other way.