Capital vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Capital v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Capital vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Capital 1-0 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Capital squeezed past Botafogo 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Botafogo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Capital had 35% of the ball to Botafogo's 65%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.53 to 1.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured Botafogo.
What was the final score of Capital vs Botafogo?
Capital 1-0 Botafogo in the Brazil - Cup on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Capital vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Capital 26%, draw 25%, Botafogo 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botafogo) went the other way.