Bragantino 6-0 Criciuma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 28% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-14.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Criciuma EU Bookmakers 18%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.94/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.14/2.11
-62% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
36.2 Crosses 14.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Criciuma
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.48 xG 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
353 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.05.2025 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BRK
08.12.2024 Bragantino 5-1 HT 2-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
29.08.2024 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
16.11.2019 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
20.08.2019 Criciuma Criciuma 0-2 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR2
11.10.2016 Bragantino 2-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
6-0
AWAY Criciuma
3.12 xG 0.64
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
321 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Criciuma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino swept aside Criciuma 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bragantino as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bragantino had 49% of the ball to Criciuma's 51%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 3.12 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bragantino and 0.67 for Criciuma.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Criciuma?

Bragantino 6-0 Criciuma in the Brazil - Cup on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Criciuma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 48%, draw 25%, Criciuma 26%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bragantino), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bragantino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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