Criciuma 1-0 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.57
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 45%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.07/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.08
-94% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
249 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.6 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bragantino
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.69 xG 1.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
272 Passes 316
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Bragantino 5-1 HT 2-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
29.08.2024 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
16.11.2019 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
20.08.2019 Criciuma Criciuma 0-2 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR2
11.10.2016 Bragantino 2-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
25.06.2016 Criciuma Criciuma 1-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
1-0
AWAY Bragantino
0.60 xG 0.71
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 8
213 Passes 499
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma nicked a narrow win over Bragantino 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Criciuma made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Criciuma had 34% of the ball to Bragantino's 66%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.60 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Criciuma and 1.83 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Bragantino?

Criciuma 1-0 Bragantino in the Brazil - Cup on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 31%, draw 29%, Bragantino 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bragantino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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