Botafogo PB 0-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
9.57
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
56%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.51
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
8%
+11.8pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.7pp
56%
Away Win
75%
-18.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.4pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo PB EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 79%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.74
+150% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -12%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
230 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
Crosses 20.9
Yellow Cards 0.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo PB
0-1
AWAY Flamengo
0.22 xG 3.26
24% Ball Possession 76%
7 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 11
147 Passes 613
71% Pass Accuracy 92%
5 Box Touches 54
7 Crosses 39
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Botafogo PB vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo squeezed past Botafogo PB 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Botafogo PB had 24% of the ball to Flamengo's 76%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 0.22 to 3.26 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Flamengo's control.

What was the final score of Botafogo PB vs Flamengo?

Botafogo PB 0-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Cup on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo PB vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Botafogo PB 20%, draw 24%, Flamengo 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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