Cruzeiro vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Vila Nova
BR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR2
Cruzeiro 2-0 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro got the better of Vila Nova 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 60% of the ball to Vila Nova's 40%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.22 to 0.28.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.50 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Vila Nova?
Cruzeiro 2-0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Cup on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 43%, draw 32%, Vila Nova 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.