Santos 1-1 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 2 May 2025

Santos
1-1 HT 1-0
CRB
📅02/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2025

Santos vs CRB Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos v CRB — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 14%
+14% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.63/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.94
+13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +48%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
434 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.6
24.1 Crosses 7.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Santos vs CRB Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
0W-1D-1L
AWAY CRB
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.74 xG 0.69
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
240 Passes 150
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 7
14 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.11.2024 Santos Santos 0-2 HT 0-1 CRB CRB BR2
29.07.2024 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR2

Santos 1-1 CRB — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
1-1
AWAY CRB
1.04 xG 2.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
13 Corners 6
355 Passes 356
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 13
38 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santos vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos and CRB shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Santos carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Santos had 50% of the ball to CRB's 50%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.04 to 2.02.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CRB led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Santos and 1.50 for CRB.

What was the final score of Santos vs CRB?

Santos 1-1 CRB in the Brazil - Cup on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Santos 56%, draw 22%, CRB 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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