Bragantino 5-1 Criciuma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 8 Dec 2024

Bragantino
5-1 HT 2-1
Criciuma
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Bragantino vs Criciuma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.07
Over 2.5
42%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
19%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 34% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.75
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.75
X/1
17%
3.58
X/2
8%
14.3
X/X
8%
6.29
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
9%
11.55
2/X
6%
19.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Criciuma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Criciuma EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.67/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.66
-9% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
25.1 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Bragantino vs Criciuma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Criciuma
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.21 xG 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
342 Passes 276
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.08.2024 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
16.11.2019 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
20.08.2019 Criciuma Criciuma 0-2 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR2
11.10.2016 Bragantino 2-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
25.06.2016 Criciuma Criciuma 1-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR2
07.10.2015 Bragantino 2-0 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2

Bragantino 5-1 Criciuma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
5-1
AWAY Criciuma
3.07 xG 0.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
240 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Criciuma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino ran out comfortable winners over Criciuma 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bragantino as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bragantino had 48% of the ball to Criciuma's 52%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 3.07 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bragantino and 0.50 for Criciuma.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Criciuma?

Bragantino 5-1 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie A on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Criciuma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 54%, draw 23%, Criciuma 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bragantino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bragantino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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