Botafogo vs Capital Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo v Capital — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo 4-0 Capital — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo ran out comfortable winners over Capital 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Botafogo had 71% of the ball to Capital's 29%, shots finished 16-1, expected goals 3.51 to 0.27.
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Capital?
Botafogo 4-0 Capital in the Brazil - Cup on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Capital?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 60%, draw 24%, Capital 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.