Paysandu 0-1 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 1 May 2025

Paysandu
0-1 HT 0-1
Bahia
📅01/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2025

Paysandu vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.73
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paysandu v Bahia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paysandu EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia EU Bookmakers 50%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
0.68/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.66
-26% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +44%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
218 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.0 Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 4.3

Paysandu vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paysandu
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bahia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
The Meetings
14.09.2016 Paysandu Paysandu 2-1 HT 1-0 Bahia Bahia BR2
04.06.2016 Bahia Bahia 3-0 HT 1-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
07.10.2015 Paysandu Paysandu 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR2
23.07.2015 Bahia Bahia 2-0 HT 0-0 Paysandu Paysandu BRK
16.07.2015 Paysandu Paysandu 3-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BRK
08.07.2015 Bahia Bahia 2-0 HT 1-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2

Paysandu 0-1 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paysandu
0-1
AWAY Bahia
0.59 xG 1.65
33% Ball Possession 67%
15 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
230 Passes 570
82% Pass Accuracy 93%
15 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paysandu vs Bahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahia edged past Paysandu 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Paysandu had 33% of the ball to Bahia's 67%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 0.59 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Paysandu and 1.33 for Bahia.

What was the final score of Paysandu vs Bahia?

Paysandu 0-1 Bahia in the Brazil - Cup on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Bahia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 32%, draw 23%, Bahia 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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