Novorizontino 0-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 1 May 2025

Novorizontino
0-1 HT 0-1
Corinthians
📅01/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2025

Novorizontino vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
27%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.41
Over 2.5
41%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
6.2
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.9pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.3pp
27%
Away Win
34%
-6.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
67%
-8.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
33%
+8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Novorizontino v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
– Crosses 23.3
– Yellow Cards 3.4

Novorizontino vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Corinthians
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
271 Passes 424
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.03.2022 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-1 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
09.05.2021 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BREPAU
08.03.2020 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-1 HT 1-1 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
10.02.2019 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
05.02.2018 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-1 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
16.02.2017 Corinthians Corinthians 1-0 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BREPAU

Novorizontino 0-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
0-1
AWAY Corinthians
1.09 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
427 Passes 327
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians squeezed past Novorizontino 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Novorizontino at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Novorizontino had 56% of the ball to Corinthians's 44%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.09 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Novorizontino and 1.00 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Corinthians?

Novorizontino 0-1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Cup on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 41%, draw 32%, Corinthians 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Novorizontino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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