Operario PR 1-1 Vasco da Gama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.02
2-3 Goals
49%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.82
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
33%
-4.5pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.8pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 42%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.80
-100% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
401 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Vasco da Gama
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.79 xG 0.91
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
239 Passes 377
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 2-3 HT 1-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR2
25.06.2022 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 3-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
22.08.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 2-0 HT 2-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR2
29.05.2021 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-2 HT 0-2 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
1-1
AWAY Vasco da Gama
0.65 xG 0.62
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
341 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Vasco da Gama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR and Vasco da Gama couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vasco da Gama at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Operario PR had 52% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 48%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.65 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Operario PR and 1.50 for Vasco da Gama.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Vasco da Gama?

Operario PR 1-1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Cup on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Vasco da Gama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 29%, draw 28%, Vasco da Gama 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vasco da Gama) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasco da Gama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRK More Brazil - Cup
1 May 2025
01:00 Botafogo vs Capital Analysis →
01:30 Ceara vs Palmeiras Analysis →
03:30 CSA Alagoano vs Gremio Analysis →
03:30 Novorizontino vs Corinthians Analysis →
03:30 Paysandu vs Bahia Analysis →
22:00 Brusque vs Atletico Paranaense Analysis →