CSA Alagoano vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSA Alagoano v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
CSA Alagoano vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
CSA Alagoano
BR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Gremio
BR2
2-1
HT 1-0
CSA Alagoano
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
CSA Alagoano 3-2 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
CSA Alagoano nicked a narrow win over Gremio 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Gremio at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CSA Alagoano had 49% of the ball to Gremio's 51%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.76 to 0.76.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gremio led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CSA Alagoano and 1.25 for Gremio.
What was the final score of CSA Alagoano vs Gremio?
CSA Alagoano 3-2 Gremio in the Brazil - Cup on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSA Alagoano vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CSA Alagoano 31%, draw 26%, Gremio 43%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.