CSA Alagoano vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
CSA Alagoano v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
CSA Alagoano vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
CSA Alagoano 3-2 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
CSA Alagoano came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Gremio 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We leaned Gremio at 48% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Gremio saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.76 to 0.76.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gremio led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for CSA Alagoano against 1.25 for Gremio.
CSA Alagoano vs Gremio Result & Final Score
CSA Alagoano 3 - 2 Gremio in the Brazil - Cup on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
CSA Alagoano vs Gremio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CSA Alagoano 22%, draw 29%, Gremio 48%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.