Santos 3-1 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 31 May 2026

Santos
3-1 HT 1-0
Vitoria
📅31/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Santos vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.1
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
12%
4.13
X/2
7%
10.15
X/X
11%
4.86
2/1
12%
24.35
2/2
8%
8.4
2/X
5%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.61/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.18
-21% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
24.5 Crosses 17.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2

Santos vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vitoria
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.95 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
316 Passes 296
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2025 Santos Santos 0-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
26.05.2025 Vitoria Vitoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BR1
06.10.2018 Vitoria Vitoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BR1
03.06.2018 Santos Santos 5-2 HT 4-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
17.10.2017 Santos Santos 2-2 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
22.06.2017 Vitoria Vitoria 0-2 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BR1

Santos 3-1 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
3-1
AWAY Vitoria
0.62 xG 0.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 5
242 Passes 330
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Box Touches 26
2 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Santos vs Vitoria
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Santos beat Vitoria 3-1 in the Brazil - Serie A on 31 May 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Santos had 44% of the ball to Vitoria's 56%, shots finished 5-22, expected goals 0.62 to 0.98.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Santos and 0.83 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Santos vs Vitoria?

Santos 3-1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Santos 57%, draw 24%, Vitoria 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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