Minnesota United 1-0 Necaxa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
38%
+8.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Necaxa EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
1-0
AWAY Necaxa
1.25 xG 1.27
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 30
2 Shots on Target 14
0 Corners 20
202 Passes 365
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 35
4 Crosses 43
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs Necaxa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United squeezed past Necaxa 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Minnesota United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Minnesota United had 37% of the ball to Necaxa's 63%, shots finished 7-30, expected goals 1.25 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Necaxa?

Minnesota United 1-0 Necaxa in the Concacaf League Cup on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Necaxa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 47%, draw 25%, Necaxa 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minnesota United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CONLK More Concacaf League Cup
31 Jul 2024
02:00 Atletico San Luis vs CF Montreal Analysis →
03:00 Pachuca vs New York Red Bulls Analysis →
04:00 Monterrey vs Austin Analysis →
05:30 Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis →