Pachuca 1-1 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.5
6+ Goals
8%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 32% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.1pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
1-1
AWAY New York Red Bulls
0.54 xG 1.85
65% Ball Possession 35%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
489 Passes 229
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
13 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca and New York Red Bulls shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Pachuca had 65% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 35%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.54 to 1.85.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs New York Red Bulls?

Pachuca 1-1 New York Red Bulls in the Concacaf League Cup on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 37%, draw 27%, New York Red Bulls 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pachuca), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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