Monterrey 0-2 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.6 — our 29% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.8pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +134% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
0-2
AWAY Austin
1.83 xG 1.40
75% Ball Possession 25%
21 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
600 Passes 183
91% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 12
37 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Austin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austin got the better of Monterrey 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Monterrey at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Monterrey had 75% of the ball to Austin's 25%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.83 to 1.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Monterrey.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Austin?

Monterrey 0-2 Austin in the Concacaf League Cup on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Austin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 49%, draw 22%, Austin 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Monterrey) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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