Monterrey vs Austin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monterrey v Austin — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey 0-2 Austin — Actual Match Statistics
Austin put daylight between themselves and Monterrey 2-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Monterrey at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Monterrey had 75% of the ball to Austin's 25%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.83 to 1.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Monterrey.
Monterrey vs Austin Result & Final Score
Monterrey 0 - 2 Austin in the Concacaf League Cup on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monterrey vs Austin Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 56%, draw 23%, Austin 21%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.