Bahia vs Retro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bahia v Retro — Team-Based Signals
Bahia 3-2 Retro — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia squeezed past Retro 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
By the numbers, possession split 75% to 25% in Bahia's favour, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.92 to 1.55.
Bahia vs Retro Result & Final Score
Bahia 3 - 2 Retro in the Brazil - Cup on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bahia vs Retro Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Bahia 79%, draw 13%, Retro 8%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.