Internacional 1-2 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 31 Jul 2025

📅31/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
20%
2.88
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.5pp
20%
Draw
31%
-11.6pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+11.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -32%
1.56/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.72
+10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.6 Crosses 16.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Fluminense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 0.57
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
341 Passes 449
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2025 Internacional Internacional 0-2 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
09.11.2024 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
05.07.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 1-1 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
09.11.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
05.10.2023 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense LKU
28.09.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 2-2 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
1-2
AWAY Fluminense
0.85 xG 0.61
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
412 Passes 290
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense edged past Internacional 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Internacional at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Internacional had 58% of the ball to Fluminense's 42%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.85 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Internacional and 1.17 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Fluminense?

Internacional 1-2 Fluminense in the Brazil - Cup on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Internacional 49%, draw 20%, Fluminense 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRK More Brazil - Cup
31 Jul 2025
01:00 CSA Alagoano vs Vasco da Gama Analysis →
01:30 Cruzeiro vs CRB Analysis →
01:30 Bahia vs Retro Analysis →
03:30 Corinthians vs Palmeiras Analysis →