Corinthians vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Corinthians v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Corinthians 1-0 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians edged past Palmeiras 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match split (32% / 36% / 32%) promised a tight game; Corinthians found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 51% to 49% in Corinthians's favour, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.38 to 1.19.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Corinthians against 1.33 for Palmeiras.
Corinthians vs Palmeiras Result & Final Score
Corinthians 1 - 0 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Cup on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Corinthians vs Palmeiras Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 32%, draw 36%, Palmeiras 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.