Corinthians vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BR1
2-1
HT 2-0
Corinthians
BR1
Corinthians 1-0 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians edged past Palmeiras 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Corinthians had 51% of the ball to Palmeiras's 49%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.38 to 1.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Corinthians and 1.33 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Palmeiras?
Corinthians 1-0 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Cup on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 47%, draw 23%, Palmeiras 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.