Gubbio vs Vigor Senigallia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gubbio v Vigor Senigallia — Team-Based Signals
Gubbio 1-1 Vigor Senigallia — Actual Match Statistics
Gubbio and Vigor Senigallia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gubbio at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gubbio had 54% of the ball to Vigor Senigallia's 46%, shots finished 16-5.
What was the final score of Gubbio vs Vigor Senigallia?
Gubbio 1-1 Vigor Senigallia in the Friendlies on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Vigor Senigallia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 68%, draw 14%, Vigor Senigallia 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gubbio), Over 2.5 went the other way.