Lumezzane 1-1 Breno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jul 2025

📅31/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.25
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Lumezzane win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
76%
-17.9pp
23%
Draw
15%
+8.6pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane The Market 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Breno The Market 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
1-1
AWAY Breno
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Breno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane and Breno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Lumezzane carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lumezzane had 62% of the ball to Breno's 38%, shots finished 22-4.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Breno?

Lumezzane 1-1 Breno in the Friendlies on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Breno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 58%, draw 23%, Breno 19%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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