Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartford Athletic v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
New Mexico United
USLP
2-2
HT 1-1
Hartford Athletic
USLP
Hartford Athletic 4-0 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
Hartford Athletic ran out comfortable winners over New Mexico United 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Hartford Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Hartford Athletic had 27% of the ball to New Mexico United's 73%, shots finished 14-22, expected goals 3.50 to 1.45.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hartford Athletic and 1.33 for New Mexico United.
What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United?
Hartford Athletic 4-0 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 39%, draw 29%, New Mexico United 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartford Athletic) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.