Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orange County SC v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Phoenix Rising
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Orange County SC
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
Orange County SC 4-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Orange County SC cruised past Phoenix Rising 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Orange County SC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Orange County SC had 44% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 56%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.64 to 2.00.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orange County SC and 1.50 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
Orange County SC 4-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orange County SC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 47%, draw 24%, Phoenix Rising 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orange County SC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.