Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Orange County SC v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Orange County SC 4-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Orange County SC made light work of Phoenix Rising 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orange County SC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Phoenix Rising saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.64 to 2.00.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Orange County SC against 1.50 for Phoenix Rising.
Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising Result & Final Score
Orange County SC 4 - 1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Orange County SC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 55%, draw 23%, Phoenix Rising 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orange County SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.