Llanelli Town 1-4 Newport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
25%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
38%
+15.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
25%
Away Win
36%
-11.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport City EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.44/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.93
+40% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +80%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llanelli Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Newport City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
24.01.2025 Newport City Newport City 1-2 HT 0-1 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
04.10.2024 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 2-3 HT 2-2 Newport City Newport City GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llanelli Town vs Newport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport City ran out comfortable winners over Llanelli Town 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Llanelli Town at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Llanelli Town and 2.00 for Newport City.

What was the final score of Llanelli Town vs Newport City?

Llanelli Town 1-4 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanelli Town vs Newport City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Llanelli Town 53%, draw 22%, Newport City 25%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Llanelli Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
31 Jul 2026
21:45 Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons Analysis →
22:00 Bangor City vs Bala Town Analysis →
22:00 Ruthin Town vs Holyhead Hotspur FC Analysis →