Deportivo Alaves 3-0 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.36
X/2
9%
9.15
X/X
15%
5.16
2/1
8%
22.25
2/2
12%
7.0
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.28/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/1.84
-31% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CD Castellon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 0
26.07.2025 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-1 HT 0-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon HAZ
03.05.2009 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
30.11.2008 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS2
29.03.2008 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
28.10.2007 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS2
25.03.2007 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves cruised past CD Castellon 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Alaves as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Castellon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.00 for CD Castellon.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs CD Castellon?

Deportivo Alaves 3-0 CD Castellon in the Friendlies on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 46%, draw 28%, CD Castellon 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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