Leeds United 1-0 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.73
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.06
6+ Goals
8%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 29% vs market 20.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.39
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
15%
5.56
X/2
18%
6.12
X/X
11%
4.94
2/1
11%
25.0
2/2
11%
3.92
2/X
9%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.29/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.51
-16% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sunderland
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.57 xG 0.91
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
482 Passes 262
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2026 Leeds United Leeds United 0-1 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
28.12.2025 Sunderland Sunderland 1-1 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
17.02.2025 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 0-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
04.10.2024 Sunderland Sunderland 2-2 HT 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
09.04.2024 Leeds United Leeds United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
12.12.2023 Sunderland Sunderland 1-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United squeezed past Sunderland 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Leeds United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Leeds United and 1.00 for Sunderland.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Sunderland?

Leeds United 1-0 Sunderland in the Friendlies on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 38%, draw 26%, Sunderland 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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