Leeds United vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leeds United v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals
Leeds United vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Leeds United
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-0
Sunderland
İNCL
Leeds United 0-1 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics
Sunderland edged past Leeds United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Leeds United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Leeds United had 70% of the ball to Sunderland's 30%, shots finished 18-3.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leeds United and 1.00 for Sunderland.
What was the final score of Leeds United vs Sunderland?
Leeds United 0-1 Sunderland in the England - Premier League on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Sunderland?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 50%, draw 26%, Sunderland 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leeds United), BTTS Yes went the other way.