Wolverhampton 2-1 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 3 Mar 2026

Wolverhampton
2-1 HT 0-0
Liverpool
📅03/03/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Wolverhampton vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.4
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
66%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
8.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
10.65
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.5
1/X
5%
19.2
X/1
6%
13.15
X/2
24%
3.92
X/X
9%
6.7
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
32%
1.72
2/X
5%
16.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.5 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
15%
+0.5pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.0pp
66%
Away Win
66%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolverhampton v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 70%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.03/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.14
-16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -13%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 507 · 86%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.0
17.6 Crosses 21.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Wolverhampton vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Liverpool
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.89 xG 2.60
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
308 Passes 508
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 42
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.12.2025 Liverpool Liverpool 2-1 HT 2-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
16.02.2025 Liverpool Liverpool 2-1 HT 2-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
28.09.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-2 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
19.05.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 2-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
16.09.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-3 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
01.03.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP

Wolverhampton 2-1 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
2-1
AWAY Liverpool
0.48 xG 2.56
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 11
249 Passes 540
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 47
9 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton nicked a narrow win over Liverpool 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Liverpool at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 34% of the ball to Liverpool's 66%, shots finished 4-20, expected goals 0.48 to 2.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Liverpool.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wolverhampton and 2.17 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Liverpool?

Wolverhampton 2-1 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 16%, draw 18%, Liverpool 66%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Liverpool), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
3 Mar 2026
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