Liverpool 2-1 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.3
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.34
2-3 Goals
39%
2.01
4-5 Goals
24%
2.63
6+ Goals
13%
6.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.47
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
21.3
X/1
26%
3.93
X/2
4%
19.95
X/X
9%
8.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.05
2/2
4%
16.5
2/X
3%
24.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.05 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
73%
-1.2pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.1pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
2.29/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.91
+7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
40.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
23.5 Crosses 13.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.67 xG 1.03
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
488 Passes 316
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
41 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Liverpool Liverpool 2-1 HT 2-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
28.09.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-2 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
19.05.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 2-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
16.09.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-3 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
01.03.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
04.02.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 3-0 HT 2-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
2-1
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.54 xG 1.16
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
581 Passes 252
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
41 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool nicked a narrow win over Wolverhampton 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool had 67% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 33%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.54 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Liverpool and 1.00 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Wolverhampton?

Liverpool 2-1 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 71%, draw 18%, Wolverhampton 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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