Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nottingham Forest v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Nottingham Forest
İNP
1-1
HT 0-1
Manchester City
İNP
Nottingham Forest 1-2 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics
Manchester City squeezed past Nottingham Forest 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Nottingham Forest had 34% of the ball to Manchester City's 66%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.59 to 1.45.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.67 for Manchester City.
What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Nottingham Forest 1-2 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 19%, draw 21%, Manchester City 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.