Nottingham Forest 0-2 Manchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 27 Apr 2025

Nottingham Forest
0-2 HT 0-1
Manchester City
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2024/2025

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.08
1/2
7%
22.9
1/X
7%
16.15
X/1
8%
10.1
X/2
21%
4.26
X/X
8%
5.32
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
25%
2.15
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.45
Value flag · 2/X at 14.45 — our 10% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City EU Bookmakers 59%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.24/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.55
+2% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.3
16.0 Crosses 21.6
0.3 Yellow Cards 3.8

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Manchester City
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.88 xG 2.06
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
239 Passes 593
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.03.2025 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
04.12.2024 Manchester City Manchester City 3-0 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
28.04.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-2 HT 0-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
23.09.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 2-0 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
18.02.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
31.08.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 6-0 HT 3-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP

Nottingham Forest 0-2 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
0-2
AWAY Manchester City
1.72 xG 1.25
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
244 Passes 564
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City saw off Nottingham Forest 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 33% of the ball to Manchester City's 67%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.72 to 1.25 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nottingham Forest.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nottingham Forest and 2.33 for Manchester City.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

Nottingham Forest 0-2 Manchester City in the England - FA Cup on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 22%, draw 24%, Manchester City 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City)
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