West Ham United 0-1 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.39
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
10%
6.38
X/2
15%
5.43
X/X
14%
4.56
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
16%
3.4
2/X
7%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.17/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.16
-10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
20.7 Crosses 22.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fulham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.01 xG 1.96
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 471
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2025 West Ham United West Ham United 3-2 HT 2-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
14.09.2024 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
14.04.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 0-2 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
10.12.2023 Fulham Fulham 5-0 HT 3-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
08.04.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
17.12.2022 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
0-1
AWAY Fulham
0.91 xG 1.62
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
330 Passes 439
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham edged past West Ham United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Fulham made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, West Ham United had 44% of the ball to Fulham's 56%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.91 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for West Ham United and 1.83 for Fulham.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Fulham?

West Ham United 0-1 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 34%, draw 27%, Fulham 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fulham) ✗ BTTS Yes
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