West Ham United 3-2 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
23%
3.45
6+ Goals
13%
13.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.45 — our 23% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.3
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
10%
6.25
X/2
16%
5.27
X/X
15%
4.48
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
17%
3.38
2/X
8%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.48/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.19
+11% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
21.3 Crosses 21.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fulham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.43 xG 1.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
322 Passes 462
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
14.04.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 0-2 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
10.12.2023 Fulham Fulham 5-0 HT 3-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
08.04.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
17.12.2022 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United HAZ
09.10.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 3-1 HT 1-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
3-2
AWAY Fulham
0.95 xG 1.90
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 3
349 Passes 445
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
6 Box Touches 27
5 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United squeezed past Fulham 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fulham at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, West Ham United had 44% of the ball to Fulham's 56%, shots finished 4-21, expected goals 0.95 to 1.90 — the balance of chances actually favoured Fulham.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for West Ham United and 1.67 for Fulham.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Fulham?

West Ham United 3-2 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 30%, draw 29%, Fulham 41%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fulham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fulham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
14 Jan 2025
22:30 Chelsea vs Bournemouth Analysis →
22:30 Brentford vs Manchester City Analysis →
23:00 Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool Analysis →