Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 14 Jan 2025

Chelsea
2-2 HT 1-0
Bournemouth
📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.86
2-3 Goals
41%
2.03
4-5 Goals
26%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.9
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.55
X/1
15%
4.15
X/2
9%
11.6
X/X
6%
7.17
2/1
6%
19.3
2/2
11%
7.61
2/X
8%
15.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.4pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelsea v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
2.06/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.86
-6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
19.5 Crosses 16.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Chelsea vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Bournemouth
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.48 xG 1.40
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
533 Passes 238
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
19.05.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 2-1 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
17.09.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
06.05.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-3 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
27.12.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 2-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
29.02.2020 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-2 HT 0-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP

Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea
2-2
AWAY Bournemouth
2.50 xG 1.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
26 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
355 Passes 248
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chelsea vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea and Bournemouth couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea had 57% of the ball to Bournemouth's 43%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 2.50 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chelsea and 0.67 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of Chelsea vs Bournemouth?

Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 51%, draw 22%, Bournemouth 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
14 Jan 2025
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