Bournemouth vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bournemouth v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Chelsea Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Chelsea
İNP
1-3
HT 1-1
Chelsea
İNP
2-0
HT 2-0
Bournemouth
İNP
2-2
HT 0-1
Chelsea
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
Bournemouth
İNP
Bournemouth 0-1 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea nicked a narrow win over Bournemouth 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Chelsea found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bournemouth had 33% of the ball to Chelsea's 67%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.77 to 0.77 — on chances, Bournemouth could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bournemouth and 1.50 for Chelsea.
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Chelsea?
Bournemouth 0-1 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Chelsea?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 37%, draw 26%, Chelsea 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.